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Table: EPS watch
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Published on
Monday, October 29, 2012
Thirteen of 18 biotechs and pharmas were down last
week after reporting earnings. Notably, Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc.
(NASDAQ:ALXN) fell 11%, losing $2.4 billion in market value, despite beating
the Street's EPS estimate. Analysts noted a lack of near-term milestones and
profit taking as rationale for the decline. Big pharmas - AstraZeneca
plc (LSE:AZN; NYSE:AZN), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (NYSE:BMY), Eli
Lilly and Co. (NYSE:LLY), Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE:MRK), Novartis
AG (NYSE:NVS; SIX:NOVN) and Sanofi (Euronext:SAN; NYSE:SNY) - lost
more than $13 billion in aggregate market value as generics continue to erode
sales. Lilly and Novartis missed the Street's revenue and earnings estimates
and closed the week down 4-5%. The BioCentury 100 and the NASDAQ Biotechnology
indices were down 3% on the week. (A) Fiscal 1Q earnings; Mcap in $M
|
Company
|
3Q12
EPS est
|
3Q12
EPS actual
|
Outcome
|
Growth
from 3Q11
|
10/26
cls
|
Wk
chg
|
%
chg
|
Mcap
chg
|
10/26
Mcap
|
|
Alexion
Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:ALXN)
|
$0.47
|
$0.60
|
Beat
by $0.13
|
62%
|
$95.26
|
-$12.36
|
-11%
|
-$2,389.8
|
$18,418.8
|
|
3Q12
sales of Soliris eculizumab, which accounted for all of Alexion's revenues,
rose 44% to $294.1M from $204M in 3Q11. The Street was expecting sales of
$293.2M. The company raised its 2012 non-GAAP EPS guidance to $1.99-$2.04
from $1.78-$1.88 and its 2012 revenue guidance to $1.12-$1.13B from
$1.11B-$1.125B. Soliris is marketed for paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria
(PNH) and atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome (aHUS).
|
|
Amgen
Inc. (NASDAQ:AMGN)
|
$1.47
|
$1.67
|
Beat
by $0.20
|
19%
|
$87.63
|
$0.47
|
1%
|
$362.4
|
$67,562.7
|
|
3Q12
revenues grew 10% to $4.3B, slightly above the Street's estimate of $4.25B.
3Q12 sales of Xgeva denosumab to prevent skeletal-related events increased to
$201M from $102M in 3Q11, while sales for Prolia denosumab for osteoporosis
increased to $110M from $51M. 3Q12 sales of neutropenia products Neulasta
pegfilgrastim and Neupogen filgrastim increased 1% to $1.4B. Sales of
autoimmune drug Enbrel etanercept grew 17% to $1.1B. Amgen repurchased $797M
in shares in 3Q12 and has $1.6B remaining under its buyback program. The
company raised its 2012 revenue guidance to $17.2-$17.3B from $16.9-$17.2B
and its adjusted EPS guidance to $6.50-$6.60 from $6.20-$6.35.
|
|
AstraZeneca
plc (LSE:AZN; NYSE:AZN)
|
$1.47
|
$1.51
|
Beat
by $0.04
|
-8%
|
$46.61
|
-$0.44
|
-1%
|
-$547.8
|
$58,029.5
|
|
AstraZeneca
said its core 3Q12 EPS benefited from the lower number of shares outstanding
as a result of its share repurchase program, which the company suspended on
Oct. 1. But 3Q12 sales fell 15% to $6.7B from $8.2B in 3Q11. The pharma
attributed the decline to the loss of exclusivity on "several key brands"
including schizophrenia drug Seroquel quetiapine IR. Sales of Seroquel, which
lost exclusivity in March, were down 83% to $169M. Sales in emerging markets
were up 6% to $1.4B, while U.S. sales fell 19% to $2.6B. The effect of U.S.
healthcare reform on 3Q12 revenues and costs was approximately $150M. Percent
changes, including change in EPS from 3Q11, assume constant currency. The
company reiterated its core 2012 EPS guidance of $6-$6.30.
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